March 7, 2007

Bubble Watch: final week will be crucial

With No. 17 Butler falling to Wright State in the finals of the Horizon Conference Tournament, there's now one less at-large bid remaining to the NCAA Tournament with the Bulldogs sure to claim a spot. Here's a look at the 10 teams, including David Hoskins and Kansas State, who appear most likely to battle for the final four or five at-large invitations to the Big Dance.

The teams are listed in alphabetical order.

CLEMSON
Record: 21-9, 7-9 Atlantic Coast
RPI: 35
Why they'd be Dancing… Clemson was the nation's last undefeated team before finding the going tough in the ACC, but the Tigers do have a non-league win over fellow bubble team Old Dominion to go along with a season sweep of Florida State and a huge win at Virginia Tech in its regular season finale.
Why they'd be Watching… The loss at Wake Forest is the only defeat that can be classified as a "bad" loss, but the fact remains Clemson lost nine of 11 league games at one point this season.
What's next: ACC Tournament vs. Florida State 3/8

DREXEL
Record: 22-8, 14-6 Colonial Athletic
RPI: 38
Why they'd be Dancing… The Dragons not only performed well in a better than expected Colonial Athletic Conference, they also won non-conference games at Villanova, Syracuse and Creighton, all teams who could very well be in the NCAA Tournament.
Why they'd be Watching… Drexel was swept by Old Dominion, a conference foe also battling for an at-large bid. The Colonial Athletic won't get three teams in the tournament, and it may be difficult to take the Dragons over ODU.
What's next: Selection Sunday

FLORIDA STATE
Record: 19-11, 7-9 Atlantic Coast
RPI: 46
Why they'd be Dancing… The Seminoles don't have a loss all season long to a team with an RPI worse than 39 and have good wins over the likes of Duke (14), Maryland (10), Virginia Tech (31) and Florida (9).
Why they'd be Watching… It could be very hard for the committee to pick a 7-9 ACC team over other BCS Conference candidates with winning league records.
What's next: ACC Tournament vs. Clemson 3/8

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